Publication

The case of missing middles: Gaps in the development finance landscape, and UNCDF’s positioning in it

Global development finance is facing a twin crisis: the regression of progress on key development indicators, and the declining availability of affordable finance to address them.

The poorest and most vulnerable countries—Least Developed Countries (LDCs), Small Island Developing States (SIDS), and Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS)—face disproportionately severe financing gaps, yet remain largely excluded from private investment and underserved by traditional Development Finance Institutions (DFIs). While DFIs have made important strides, structural constraints—such as the need for fund reflows, creditworthiness, high deal sizes, and limited flexibility—undermine their ability to act catalytically in the most high-risk, low-income contexts.

This paper identifies these persistent “white spaces” in the development finance ecosystem and argues that bridging them requires a distinct institutional approach—one that embraces patient, risk-tolerant, small-ticket, and blended capital; is embedded in local ecosystems; and invests not just in deals but in market systems. The United Nations Capital Development Fund (UNCDF) is uniquely positioned to play this role.

With its flexible toolkit, in-country presence, and catalytic mandate, UNCDF can act as a first-mover and last-mile financier in frontier markets. It can demonstrate financial viability where markets fail, build pipelines of investable opportunities, and create the conditions for additional development finance and private capital to follow. Crucially, UNCDF’s operations are designed not as one-off interventions, but as foundational steps toward larger market transitions.

By embracing this catalytic, complementary role, UNCDF fills a critical niche in the development finance architecture—helping to close the gap between the ambition of global development goals and the ground-level realities in the world’s most underserved markets.

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